National Bureau of Economic Research (Texas: Opening shows measures had no impact)
“Our findings come with the requisite caveats regarding external validity. The Texan experience may not necessarily generalize to the average state undergoing a similar reopening and lifting of restrictions. Nevertheless, the lack of any meaningful population-level response in social distancing metrics, COVID cases, or short-term economic activity highlight important channels and mechanisms at play that regulate the existence and strength of the response, and these mechanisms are also expected to be applicable to other states that enact late-pandemic era reopening policies.”